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Why is the number of infected people not falling? Is the quarantine ineffective?

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  • Why is the number of infected people not falling? Is the quarantine ineffective?

    Why is the number of infected people not falling? Is the quarantine ineffective?


    In Italy the quarantine is now probably 3 weeks, in France 2 weeks and in Germany a good week. Nevertheless the number of infected is still rising.
    Experts are also wondering about this. A clear flattening of the curve had been expected. The exact opposite has happened. The curve has become even steeper.
    Did the quarantine actually accelerate the infection? The number of infections could be interpreted like this.


    In fact, however, the infections already existed before the quarantine and are only now being detected. That the numbers are so high is somewhat surprising. The virus appears to be much more infectious than expected. The "infestation" of the population was correspondingly higher.
    Besides, the quarantine is not complete. People go for a walk, shopping etc. and accordingly there are new infections. On this basis, there will be no significant flattening of the infections. But, without quarantine, the increase would be even steeper.
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  • #2
    AW: Why is the number of infected people not falling? Is the quarantine ineffective?

    With a perfect quarantine, the infection numbers would have to decrease after 2 weeks. In fact, the numbers are rising even faster than before the quarantine. So, don't do any math here, just tell us what's wrong!
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    • #3
      AW: Why is the number of infected people not falling? Is the quarantine ineffective?

      that's where the shell players (statisticians) are at work. What exactly is going on we will find out (maybe) in a few weeks.


      At the moment money is pumped like crazy into the "market" to keep the shares up. Coronabonds is just another word for devaluation of German savings deposits.




      Boston : A bad truth is better than a good lie
      Eine schlechte Wahrheit ist besser als eine gute Lüge !
      Une mauvaise vérité vaut mieux qu'un bon mensonge !
      A bad truth is better than a good lie !

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