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Corona, when is the danger over ? When can the quarantine be lifted ?
Corona, when is the danger over ? When can the corona quarantine be lifted ?
The safest time for the end of the corona crisis would be when the herd immunity is reached. That would require over 70% of the population to be immune to the virus. But that could take several years.
Another time would be mass immunization against the virus. That's supposed to happen in early 2021.
Drugs cannot prevent the infection, but they can slow down the course of the disease considerably and reduce the most severe symptoms. For the time being, research and trials are still underway. There is no clear information on the widespread use of the virus. A real breakthrough in the treatment of corona can be expected in a few months.
The biggest problem with corona disease is inflammatory processes in the lungs. To maintain lung function, artificial respiration is necessary. As long as these devices are lacking, a flattening of the infection curve is vital for survival. If sufficient ventilators are available, at least the greatest danger would be averted. At present, there is a shortage of these devices in the industrialized countries as well. This problem will be solved in the industrialized countries within the next few months.
Infection occurs mainly through respiration. Protective masks therefore considerably reduce the risk of infection. Since governments have failed to stock sufficient protective masks despite clear warnings (sars, mers, bird flu, annual flu epidemic, etc.), it was long claimed that these masks were worthless. The background for this lie was the hope to have at least enough protective masks for the medical staff. Slowly the supply situation is improving and if enough masks are available, the population will be forced to wear the masks. The wearing of the masks will be necessary for the next months.
Another way of containment is the area-wide testing of the population. There are already different tests, but with different degrees of certainty. Of particular interest are rapid tests with which the antibodies can be detected. With this test it can be seen who is immune to the disease. These people could then live and work again without further protective measures. This would be especially important for people who work in hospitals. Easily available tests would allow a noticeable relaxation of the quarantine, as chains of infection would be better recognised.
Another possibility to contain the virus is tracking. This involves tracking the contacts that could lead to infection by mobile phone. This would be, for example, a distance of less than two metres over a certain period of time. If one of the contacts tests positive, all contacts receive a corresponding message via SMS. Other possibilities of tracking are tracking the movements of an infected person. The use of tracking could reduce the quarantine time.
Economic problems are forcing the authorities to relax the quarantine. There will be a compromise between coronatotes and economic necessity.
The first loosening of the quarantine is therefore to be expected from the end of April.
However, full freedom of movement will not be achieved for several months.
I see that I keep writing "several months". That is at least 3 months. Sorry, but this is the bitter truth.
The safest time for the end of the corona crisis would be when the herd immunity is reached. That would require over 70% of the population to be immune to the virus. But that could take several years.
Another time would be mass immunization against the virus. That's supposed to happen in early 2021.
Drugs cannot prevent the infection, but they can slow down the course of the disease considerably and reduce the most severe symptoms. For the time being, research and trials are still underway. There is no clear information on the widespread use of the virus. A real breakthrough in the treatment of corona can be expected in a few months.
The biggest problem with corona disease is inflammatory processes in the lungs. To maintain lung function, artificial respiration is necessary. As long as these devices are lacking, a flattening of the infection curve is vital for survival. If sufficient ventilators are available, at least the greatest danger would be averted. At present, there is a shortage of these devices in the industrialized countries as well. This problem will be solved in the industrialized countries within the next few months.
Infection occurs mainly through respiration. Protective masks therefore considerably reduce the risk of infection. Since governments have failed to stock sufficient protective masks despite clear warnings (sars, mers, bird flu, annual flu epidemic, etc.), it was long claimed that these masks were worthless. The background for this lie was the hope to have at least enough protective masks for the medical staff. Slowly the supply situation is improving and if enough masks are available, the population will be forced to wear the masks. The wearing of the masks will be necessary for the next months.
Another way of containment is the area-wide testing of the population. There are already different tests, but with different degrees of certainty. Of particular interest are rapid tests with which the antibodies can be detected. With this test it can be seen who is immune to the disease. These people could then live and work again without further protective measures. This would be especially important for people who work in hospitals. Easily available tests would allow a noticeable relaxation of the quarantine, as chains of infection would be better recognised.
Another possibility to contain the virus is tracking. This involves tracking the contacts that could lead to infection by mobile phone. This would be, for example, a distance of less than two metres over a certain period of time. If one of the contacts tests positive, all contacts receive a corresponding message via SMS. Other possibilities of tracking are tracking the movements of an infected person. The use of tracking could reduce the quarantine time.
Economic problems are forcing the authorities to relax the quarantine. There will be a compromise between coronatotes and economic necessity.
The first loosening of the quarantine is therefore to be expected from the end of April.
However, full freedom of movement will not be achieved for several months.
I see that I keep writing "several months". That is at least 3 months. Sorry, but this is the bitter truth.